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개설일2014-10-02

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그들도 자신이 뭘 하는지 몰라요.(They don't know what they're doing either.)

2024.03.11 조회170 댓글0

They don't know what they're doing either.

2024.04.13 토 AM 09.15분

20240413081639547.png



They don't know what they're doing either.(그들도 자신이 뭘 하는지 몰라요.)


내가 당신에게 해주고 싶은 충고는 단 하나입니다.

외국인을 믿지 말 것!


그리고 외국인*들에게 기대하지도 말 것.

외국인은 기대하라고 있는 존재가 아니랍니다.

그들도 자신이 뭘 하는지 몰라요.


기계로 치자면 외국인은 스위스 시계처럼 정교한 기계가 아니거든요.

아주 단순한 전기 포트 같아요. 스위치를 누르면 물이 금방 끊지만 

스위치가 꺼지면 너무 금방 식어버리죠.


그들에겐 뇌가 두 개 있다는 이야기는 들어 보셨나요?

그 가설의 내용은 이래요.


외국인의 뇌 중 하나는 머리에 있습니다. 내국인들처럼 말이죠.

이 뇌는 이성적인 역할을 담당하고 또 적당한 시간이 될 때

후회하라고 있는 거라고 합니다.


그리고 다른 뇌는 허리춤에 감춰져 있지요.

이 뇌는 다른 뇌에 비해 본능적인 역할을 담당하는데 매사에 

무조건 돌진하라고 명령을 내린다고 합니다.


외국인에게 뇌가 두 개 있다고 해서 내국인보다 현명한 건 아니라고 합니다. 오히려 내국인보다 뇌의 기능이 분리가 되어 있어 항상 삐그덕거린다고 합니다. 왜냐하면 머리에 있는 이성적인 뇌는 허리춤에 있는 본능적인 뇌보다 뒤쪽에 우치해 있기에 뭔가 판단하고 생각하는데 있어 허리춤에 있는 뇌보다 느리게 작동한다고 합니다.


그래서 허리춤에 있는 본능적인 뇌가 시도 때도 없이 외국인으로 하여금 본능적으로 그리고 수단 방법을 가리지 않고 돌진하라고 시키기 때문에 외국인은 시장에 거래를 하면서 수많은 사고와 서툰 발자국을 남긴다고 하네요.


그리고 그 후에 머리에 있는 이성적인 뇌가 뒤늦게 자신이 만들어 놓은 골치 아픈 상황을 정리하려 하지만 이미 상황은 벌어질 대로 벌어져버려 납땜이 불가능한 지경이 된다는 겁니다.


이렇게 증명되지 않은 가설을 이야기하는 건 그 동안 외국인들이 만들어 낸 실수에 대해 변명하려는 것이 아닙니다. 순전히 미리 사고를 예방하려는 거죠.


한편으로는 두 개의 뇌 때문에  졸지에 욕망과 본능에만 충실한 외국인으로 낙인 찍혔던 수많은 외국인들이 왜 그럴 수밖에 없는지를 다른 방식으로 설명해드리고 싶어서 이야기 드렸습니다.


이렇기 때문에 외국인을 조심하라는 거죠.


물론 100% 모든 외국인들이 다 그렇다는 건 아니랍니다. 

대부분 교육과 학습을 통해 본능을 누르는 법을 배웠지만 간혹 일부가 아직도 자기 마음대로 그것들을 컨트롤하지 못하는 경두도 있기에 내국인이 당할 상처를 미연에 방지하기 위해 이야기 드린 거랍니다.


마지막으로 한 번 정리하죠.

외국인에게는 두 개의 뇌가 있고, 그 뇌들 중 허리춤에 있는 뇌가 머리 쪽 뇌보다 더 급히 움직인다는 것, 이것만 기억하세요.


그러니까  우연이라도 당신 보유 종목 중에 외국인의 허리춤이 잠시 스치면서 급등할 경우 그저 그들의 허리춤의 일시적 충동이라고 생각하시고, 주가가 비상을 암시하는 굉장히 중요한 맥점을 건드렸다고 인정하지 마시고, 식 웃으면서  살살 그들에게 주어버리세요.


* 모든 외국인을 의미하는 것이 아니고 주식 시장에 존재하는 현물 외국인을 의미 함.




(Weekly Report)The party is completely over.A catastrophe will begin all over the world.

2024.03.09 Saturday 11.30 AM




SKIP is the basis for the conclusion below because it is inconvenient to disclose.



Summary and Conclusion


"The party is over."Nevertheless, he is still dancing. Because he's full of variety shows. While further bullishness followed later in the week on the belief that the party was still going on, a wave of catastrophe finally set in for U.S. markets. It said it looked safe to respond to further strength in the market in the short term. If you look at the U.S. stock market crash on Friday night, that judgment was correct. The party is completely over.A catastrophe will begin all over the world.


The wave is extended by visible hand interventions such as policies and remarks.It is also reduced and terminated to subtypes. The gains from Powell's two days of unexpected, strong dovish comments this Wednesday and Thursday are of a similar nature. Still, it hit a new all-time high on Friday night as the conditions for ending the rise were met again, and it crashed from that high. Every index in the U.S. is...


All market participants are likely to be taken aback by the decline. number of investors have been stabbed in the back of their heads while imagining an upturn in Nvidia-led surges. Recently, Nvidia in the U.S. and Hynix in Korea are leading the way. Looking at the closing conditions of Nvidia Friday, a key stock in these stocks, it appears to be a catastrophic sign. Nvidia appears to have created a big downside candle of that nature, just as it accelerated the catastrophe after a vertical jump to EcoProBM +26.41% on July 26, 2023, and a -1.55% drop in the closing price. It means that Daejangju created a signal of catastrophe. 


It's finally the end and start signal for Nvidia, which was a stumbling block to the bear scenario. That's why. If Nvidia Hynix is not in the portfolio during the upturn, it is likely that it will not be able to cover the index's decline without the portfolio during the downturn, just as it failed to cover the index's gains. This means that if you didn't have an eco-pro group or a secondary battery group in your portfolio at a time when you were leading the surge in secondary batteries, you wouldn't be able to keep up with market returns. For now, Po.We need to consider selling some of our portfolio to Hynix.


Key Juring Nvidia, which has sent the U.S. index soaring even further, is starting to crumble despite signs of a drop in current market cap Microsoft and No. 2 Apple. U.S. indexes also fell as they fell from their highs. Next week. What will happen? We cannot rule out the possibility that the entire U.S. index will plunge at the same time as the first, second and third places in market capitalization fall at the same time. Powerful Nvidia Holds Apple Maso Despite Signs Of Collision But if Nvidia collapses and the index collapses, won't Maso and Apple, which have held out, be able to no longer maintain their support and fall? In the midst of this, if Nvidia falls, the index is likely to plunge next Monday.


The same goes for the overall index. On the SP500 day chart At this point, the last fifth wave ended with three extensions, the maximum allowed by the wave. The falling candle marks the end and beginning of Friday's gap rise. Now, the wave of catastrophe is expected to accelerate.


SP500 Weekly Chart It's been up and down for the past two weeks. In a chaotic situation, we decided that a disaster was imminent because we reached the bottom support line with a weightlifting table.Similar to how SC5 went up in the past, we looked at the chart upside down.The wave has begun on the downtrend support. in the same way Powell's sudden dovish remarks during the week are repeated twice. NVIDIA, too. It's at an all-time high during the week, and the SP500 index is also at an all-time high. in that condition This is the weekly drop in the top tail this week. Week The Long-awaited Fall of the Cross Candle at the End and Start It is determined that the signal has been confirmed. Next week, there will be a surprising downward wave. 3.12 Tuesday night. It is questionable whether the CPI indicator will again act as a positive factor. Last time.That's bad news. Since then, the stock has gone up for other reasons. This time.If it works as a good thing, it will end up being just one day, a bad thing. If it acts as bad news, it will fall in succession afterwards.


SP500 monthly chart Principles discovered by Elliott's study of the Great Depression wave Report B. Make a high point and imagine it from that high point. Five falling shock waves create a huge inflatable triangle pattern and fall on the support line at the bottom of it. Waves of disaster... It's finally starting. Number five. The shock rise wave and the abnormal reaction B wave. It's a bubble wave triggered by irrational excitement. This foam... There is a strong tendency to extinguish everything during a downward C wave. In this regard, the upcoming disaster wave will lead to SC4 row (2191.86P). Point out that there is a high probability of breaking.


Some wave theorists detect the possibility of a second Great Depression wave in terms of large flows as an ultra-long-term wave structure. Looking back at the history of the stock market in the past and looking at the long flow, the wave structure continues to be presented that unimaginable capitalist catastrophes can occur, so based on that, a second Great Depression wave can occur in a long-term Dow structure.


Looking at log-scale annual salaries, we see that the peak of SC5 in 2022 is the peak of GSC5, which began from the start of the 1896 wave. On a typical pay scale, we can see that the high point of SC5 in 2022 is the high point of SC5, starting from the low point of 2009.3. This means that a fifth of the highs met a fifth of the highs at a larger scale. In this case, subsequent falling ABC waves produce large variability waves of various scales. Because of this, the cause of the collision wave comparable to that of wave C was the last wave A, and the expensive wave that emerged at the low point of wave A was the abnormal reaction B wave. If so, the C wave following the B high point also implies that a shock wave that is different in scale from the C wave that occurred in the past crisis wave occurs. That said, Friday's drop marks the first day of a wave of catastrophes of different sizes.

At this point, if we look at the structure of the Dow's long-term wave, infer that a second Great Depression wave could occur, and prepare for the big trend in mind, could it be the "second Jesse Livermore" and "second Joseph Kennydi"? My answer is, "I think so."


In several recent reports, Brazilian and Mexican stocks have been falling due to their own wave structures, which have not been linked to continued gains in U.S. markets. This needs to be used as a leading indicator of widespread global crash disasters. Joseon was linked in the second half of the week, but it was not. a kind of one's predecessor It means that it was a warning of a global stock market decline.


Based on the Nasdaq Composite, it hit its highest closing price of the year on March 11, 2000.Collision waves, the beginning signal of the March 13 catastrophe, occur. A similar history is likely to be repeated in the Nasdaq index for the first time in 24 years. Strangely, the end date and the start date are similar. 2024.3.9 Nasdaq's intraday highs and closing prices are below their opening price. This is a sign of termination. Next week's 3.13-month drop signals the start of a repeat catastrophe on a similar date in history.


KOSPI 200 Week Chart에서 Double 3 abc is made twice. Friday's close is the second wave of the B wave. It is inferred that it will be a c-5 high point. With Nvidia's leadership over the weekend, In line with the U.S. decline, Korea is also expected to fall next week. That's the end and it's going to be the start signal. this maturity I think it's safe to only target the low before 352.02. When you reach that point, you stop the near month and move to the next month. Thursday Prepare for great success for acceleration of subsequent trend n waves.I think so.


On the KOSPI 200 Monthly Chart, Compared to the U.S. for wave B, It's progressing very weakly. When you proceed like monthly chart reasoning that accelerates the wave of catastrophic disasters in the United States, Disaster occurs when the composite index is also linked. It looks like two layers have been expanded. These two lows are 1265P and 892.16P. Wave 5 is all bubbles, so it dissipates during the ABC wave process. By that measure, the wave of the Wilderness disaster was 1439.43 from the lowest point of SC4.There is a high probability of leaving P. It's the low point of the COVID-19 crisis. at that point If support fails. Subprime crisis low 892.16P, further downside wave It should be pointed out that the possibility is promising. The implication is that there will be a wave of capitalist catastrophes.


Major... Maintaining or strengthening the current position will probably close the inferred up and down bands without leaving them behind. The composite expiration index is likely to fall. However, it looks like it will stop at some point between 350-352.5 on the latest Thursday.  


As an alternative after the ban on short selling, futures in stocks unrelated to index fluctuations have continued net selling for months in a row. It's important to note that the expiration is likely to stage an operation to crash the stock index by selling a large number of shares at Thursday's close. The previous two months were in the same situation, but that didn't happen. But This is due at the same time. It is also important to keep in mind that there may be a bizarre situation in which the stock price plunges due to a large sale at a feared maturity deadline. That hasn't happened since George Soros sold more than 1 trillion shares on the same maturity date in October 1998.(There was a similar incident called the Deutsche crisis, but the intensity was weak.)  But George Soros was like that decades ago, so history is likely to happen again this time. It should be pointed out that it is speculative to see too many stock futures accrue to selling..

draw a conclusion

from a short-term perspective With Nvidia's leadership over the weekend, In line with the U.S. decline, South Korea is also likely to fall next Monday.  down on a weekly basis I think so. That's the end and it's going to be the start signal. this maturityI think it's safe to only target the low before 352.02. When you reach that point, you stop the near month and move to the next month. after ThursdayTo achieve great success, we prepare for the acceleration of the trending n-wave of .I think so.

From a long-term perspective, "The party is over, and from next week, "A catastrophe will begin all over the world."

(The end)

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